Minority Report

Fairfield, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Camas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°1%
US model (GFS)59°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average58°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 92%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°31°97%
US model (GFS)57°34°66%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°100%
German model (ICON)56°40°98%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°100%
The average57°36°92%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 78 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 83%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°21°22%
US model (GFS)45°33°98%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°100%
German model (ICON)49°35°93%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°100%
The average47°29°83%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 30°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 9%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°23%
US model (GFS)47°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
German model (ICON)47°34°10%
Canadian model (GEM)47°24°10%
The average48°30°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.