Minority Report

Fairfield, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Freestone County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)77°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°54°0%
German model (ICON)75°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°52°0%
The average76°51°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°45°1%
US model (GFS)70°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°0%
German model (ICON)68°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°46°0%
The average70°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 32%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°46°45%
US model (GFS)67°45°17%
European model (ECMWF)67°48°46%
German model (ICON)60°45°50%
Canadian model (GEM)68°49°0%
The average65°47°32%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 46°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 88%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°44°88%
US model (GFS)58°48°76%
European model (ECMWF)56°47°94%
German model (ICON)51°46°93%
Canadian model (GEM)57°48°87%
The average55°46°88%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.