Minority Report

Fairmont, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marion County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 40°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 82%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°46%
US model (GFS)49°43°66%
European model (ECMWF)53°43°100%
German model (ICON)50°38°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°44°100%
The average50°40°82%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 30%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°25%
US model (GFS)43°32°13%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°28%
German model (ICON)44°33°38%
Canadian model (GEM)45°32°46%
The average45°32°30%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 20%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°28%
US model (GFS)44°33°9%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°4%
German model (ICON)45°32°10%
Canadian model (GEM)42°32°48%
The average44°32°20%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 13%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°12%
US model (GFS)45°35°18%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°4%
German model (ICON)47°36°10%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°19%
The average45°35°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.