Falfurrias, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Brooks County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 79° Low 59° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 53° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 78° | 61° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 80° | 61° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 78° | 60° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 81° | 58° | 0% |
| The average | 79° | 59° | 0% |
High 77° Low 54° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 77° | 57° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 74° | 54° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 55° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 76° | 52° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 79° | 50° | 0% |
| The average | 77° | 54° | 5% |
High 77° Low 62° Rain 43%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 76° | 65° | 43% |
| US model (GFS) | 73° | 60° | 55% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 79° | 62° | 30% |
| German model (ICON) | 76° | 62° | 55% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 84° | 60° | 34% |
| The average | 77° | 62° | 43% |
High 83° Low 66° Rain 44%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 82° | 60° | 30% |
| US model (GFS) | 82° | 69° | 31% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 85° | 63° | 71% |
| German model (ICON) | 80° | 68° | 33% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 88° | 71° | 57% |
| The average | 83° | 66° | 44% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.