Minority Report

Falmouth, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pendleton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 41°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 58%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°52%
US model (GFS)55°39°20%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°80%
German model (ICON)55°41°48%
Canadian model (GEM)54°42°91%
The average55°41°58%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 55%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°35%
US model (GFS)44°33°31%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°73%
German model (ICON)46°36°68%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°67%
The average45°35°55%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°1%
US model (GFS)47°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°33°0%
German model (ICON)47°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°33°5%
The average47°32°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)49°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°2%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°29°0%
The average49°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.