Minority Report

Farmerville, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Union Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°1%
US model (GFS)75°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°52°0%
German model (ICON)73°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°53°0%
The average74°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°39°0%
US model (GFS)59°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°45°0%
German model (ICON)58°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°45°0%
The average60°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°41°2%
US model (GFS)60°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°41°0%
German model (ICON)58°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°0%
The average58°38°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 42°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 58%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°43°45%
US model (GFS)63°41°49%
European model (ECMWF)55°44°73%
German model (ICON)55°40°70%
Canadian model (GEM)57°44°55%
The average58°42°58%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.