Minority Report

Farmington, ME — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 29°   Rain 8%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°14%
US model (GFS)43°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°0%
German model (ICON)42°30°10%
Canadian model (GEM)43°29°14%
The average43°29°8%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°25°8%
US model (GFS)43°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°0%
German model (ICON)43°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°28°0%
The average43°29°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 8%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 8%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°26°4%
US model (GFS)42°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°18%
German model (ICON)42°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°29°10%
The average43°30°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°2%
US model (GFS)42°30°2%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°3%
German model (ICON)43°33°5%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°10%
The average43°30°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.