Farmington, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Davis County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 59° Low 41° Rain 0%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 46° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 59° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 37° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 63° | 46° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 41° | 0% |
| The average | 59° | 41° | 0% |
High 62° Low 46° Rain 64%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 64° | 45° | 99% |
| US model (GFS) | 65° | 47° | 37% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 43° | 73% |
| German model (ICON) | 62° | 50° | 45% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 44° | 67% |
| The average | 62° | 46° | 64% |
High 49° Low 40° Rain 99%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 39° | 99% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 37° | 97% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 39° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 41° | 99% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 44° | 100% |
| The average | 49° | 40° | 99% |
High 54° Low 38° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 40° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 36° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 37° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 38° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.