Minority Report

Farmville, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Prince Edward County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 42°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 48 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 19%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°10%
US model (GFS)69°40°19%
German model (ICON)67°42°48%
Canadian model (GEM)68°44°0%
The average68°42°19%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°29°7%
US model (GFS)54°35°2%
German model (ICON)55°32°8%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°0%
The average56°33°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°27°2%
German model (ICON)52°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°31°0%
The average53°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°28°0%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
German model (ICON)58°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°30°0%
The average56°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.