Minority Report

Fayette, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fayette County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 45°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 18%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)70°50°13%
European model (ECMWF)66°48°47%
German model (ICON)67°47°3%
Canadian model (GEM)66°50°29%
The average67°45°18%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°28°0%
US model (GFS)52°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°38°0%
The average53°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°28°0%
US model (GFS)55°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average55°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 32°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°32°7%
US model (GFS)58°36°2%
European model (ECMWF)56°35°2%
German model (ICON)59°26°2%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°0%
The average57°32°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.