Minority Report

Fayette, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)73°50°1%
European model (ECMWF)72°54°0%
German model (ICON)72°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°56°0%
The average72°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°34°0%
US model (GFS)59°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°43°0%
German model (ICON)59°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°45°0%
The average60°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°0%
US model (GFS)62°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average59°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 61°   Low 40°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 42%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°39°43%
US model (GFS)66°40°36%
European model (ECMWF)59°42°54%
German model (ICON)60°37°44%
Canadian model (GEM)61°43°32%
The average61°40°42%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.