Minority Report

Fayetteville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cumberland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 49°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°0%
US model (GFS)74°52°37%
European model (ECMWF)72°52°35%
German model (ICON)73°48°5%
Canadian model (GEM)72°51°5%
The average73°49°16%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°38°11%
US model (GFS)58°44°2%
European model (ECMWF)59°45°2%
German model (ICON)60°39°5%
Canadian model (GEM)61°44°0%
The average60°42°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°34°0%
US model (GFS)55°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°6%
German model (ICON)55°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°39°0%
The average55°37°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°34°0%
US model (GFS)56°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)58°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°0%
The average57°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.