Minority Report

Fayetteville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lincoln County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 40°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 28%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°3%
US model (GFS)61°42°8%
European model (ECMWF)61°44°48%
German model (ICON)61°44°10%
Canadian model (GEM)60°43°71%
The average61°40°28%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°0%
German model (ICON)50°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°34°0%
The average48°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°25°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°29°0%
The average51°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°28°1%
US model (GFS)54°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°24°0%
The average54°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.