Minority Report

Fayetteville, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fayette County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 39°   Rain 90%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 90%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°84%
US model (GFS)51°40°66%
European model (ECMWF)49°40°100%
German model (ICON)51°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°100%
The average50°39°90%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 79%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°68%
US model (GFS)40°33°43%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°98%
German model (ICON)41°34°90%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°98%
The average42°33°79%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 31°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 78 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 54%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°30°40%
US model (GFS)38°28°17%
European model (ECMWF)41°30°79%
German model (ICON)38°33°40%
Canadian model (GEM)36°32°95%
The average39°31°54%

Sunday, November 15

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 11%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°6%
US model (GFS)41°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)41°29°27%
German model (ICON)44°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)40°32°19%
The average42°32°11%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.