Minority Report

Fernandina Beach, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Nassau County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 57°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—52°0%
US model (GFS)76°56°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°58°0%
German model (ICON)78°58°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°62°0%
The average77°57°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°45°0%
US model (GFS)66°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°52°0%
German model (ICON)66°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°55°0%
The average67°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°50°0%
US model (GFS)61°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°0%
German model (ICON)59°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°48°0%
The average60°44°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 62°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°54°0%
US model (GFS)63°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°49°0%
German model (ICON)62°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°53°0%
The average62°50°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.