Minority Report

Fillmore, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Millard County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°1%
US model (GFS)60°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°43°0%
German model (ICON)56°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average58°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 69%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°40°97%
US model (GFS)62°43°35%
European model (ECMWF)60°41°86%
German model (ICON)61°44°58%
Canadian model (GEM)57°40°71%
The average60°42°69%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 98%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°97%
US model (GFS)46°33°97%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°100%
German model (ICON)46°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°95%
The average45°34°98%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°0%
US model (GFS)51°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°0%
The average51°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.