Fincastle, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Botetourt County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 60° Low 42° Rain 39%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 39° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 59° | 41° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 58° | 44° | 73% |
| German model (ICON) | 59° | 43° | 63% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 63° | 43° | 38% |
| The average | 60° | 42° | 39% |
High 51° Low 36° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 32° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 34° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 38° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 36° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 40° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 36° | 3% |
High 46° Low 32° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 35° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 29° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 32° | 1% |
High 51° Low 32° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 29° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.