Minority Report

Findlay, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hancock County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 28 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 92%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°72%
US model (GFS)49°41°89%
European model (ECMWF)51°42°100%
German model (ICON)49°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°42°100%
The average49°40°92%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 31%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 31%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°29°20%
US model (GFS)41°32°32%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°45%
German model (ICON)41°32°25%
Canadian model (GEM)42°31°33%
The average41°32°31%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°34°8%
US model (GFS)43°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)40°25°10%
The average43°30°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°0%
US model (GFS)46°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°0%
German model (ICON)47°38°1%
Canadian model (GEM)41°27°0%
The average45°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.