Flagstaff, AZ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Coconino County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 58° Low 37° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 58° | 41° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 39° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 58° | 37° | 1% |
High 52° Low 39° Rain 65%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 35° | 85% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 39° | 34% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 40° | 79% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 41° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 40° | 90% |
| The average | 52° | 39° | 65% |
High 44° Low 30° Rain 85%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 23° | 85% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 33° | 63% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 33° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 33° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 28° | 100% |
| The average | 44° | 30° | 85% |
High 52° Low 30° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 27° | 4% |
| The average | 52° | 30° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.