Minority Report

Flemingsburg, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fleming County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 41°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°53%
US model (GFS)53°39°89%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°100%
German model (ICON)54°43°93%
Canadian model (GEM)54°42°100%
The average54°41°87%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 64%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°48%
US model (GFS)44°33°43%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°78%
German model (ICON)45°38°75%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°76%
The average45°34°64%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°5%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°0%
German model (ICON)45°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)45°30°10%
The average45°32°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°0%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°25°0%
The average47°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.