Minority Report

Flint, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Genesee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 66%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°30%
US model (GFS)46°38°54%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°98%
German model (ICON)46°39°83%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°64%
The average46°37°66%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 51%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°45%
US model (GFS)39°32°33%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°47%
German model (ICON)40°31°40%
Canadian model (GEM)38°31°90%
The average40°31°51%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°1%
US model (GFS)40°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°2%
German model (ICON)45°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°32°5%
The average43°31°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°0%
US model (GFS)45°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°0%
German model (ICON)45°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°26°6%
The average44°31°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.