Minority Report

Florence, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lauderdale County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 41°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°5%
US model (GFS)64°43°6%
European model (ECMWF)63°45°0%
German model (ICON)63°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°42°6%
The average63°41°3%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°30°0%
US model (GFS)49°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°41°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°32°0%
The average50°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°0%
The average52°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°32°3%
US model (GFS)54°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°26°0%
The average54°32°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.