Minority Report

Florence, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Florence County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 51°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°0%
US model (GFS)76°54°1%
European model (ECMWF)74°55°13%
German model (ICON)75°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°55°3%
The average75°51°3%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°37°0%
US model (GFS)59°45°1%
European model (ECMWF)59°46°0%
German model (ICON)61°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°44°0%
The average60°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°32°0%
US model (GFS)56°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)55°41°0%
German model (ICON)56°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°38°0%
The average56°36°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°0%
German model (ICON)58°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°30°0%
The average57°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.