Minority Report

Floresville, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wilson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)79°56°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°58°0%
German model (ICON)76°55°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°52°0%
The average78°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 77°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°52°0%
US model (GFS)77°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°54°0%
German model (ICON)76°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°47°0%
The average77°50°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 73°   Low 56°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 60%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°59°59%
US model (GFS)70°56°40%
European model (ECMWF)73°57°81%
German model (ICON)72°57°73%
Canadian model (GEM)79°53°48%
The average73°56°60%

Sunday, November 15

High 73°   Low 57°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 74%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°54°73%
US model (GFS)78°61°47%
European model (ECMWF)70°56°91%
German model (ICON)71°57°75%
Canadian model (GEM)74°57°86%
The average73°57°74%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.