Minority Report

Florida Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Florida Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 89°   Low 71°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 99 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 28%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—75°0%
US model (GFS)89°71°16%
European model (ECMWF)87°73°99%
German model (ICON)91°65°13%
Canadian model (GEM)90°68°11%
The average89°71°28%

Friday, November 13

High 88°   Low 73°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°75°10%
US model (GFS)87°72°29%
European model (ECMWF)85°76°54%
German model (ICON)90°71°0%
Canadian model (GEM)89°73°5%
The average88°73°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 88°   Low 74°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 83 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 33%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°74°40%
US model (GFS)87°73°28%
European model (ECMWF)83°76°83%
German model (ICON)91°74°0%
Canadian model (GEM)90°72°14%
The average88°74°33%

Sunday, November 15

High 90°   Low 71°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 9%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°73°24%
US model (GFS)92°71°3%
European model (ECMWF)88°74°10%
German model (ICON)92°69°8%
Canadian model (GEM)90°69°0%
The average90°71°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.