Minority Report

Floyd, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Floyd County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 40%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°3%
US model (GFS)55°38°26%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°61%
German model (ICON)55°41°73%
Canadian model (GEM)57°38°38%
The average55°38°40%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°2%
US model (GFS)41°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°2%
German model (ICON)44°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°5%
The average44°33°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°27°1%
US model (GFS)39°25°3%
European model (ECMWF)39°32°1%
German model (ICON)40°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°30°5%
The average40°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°26°0%
US model (GFS)42°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°29°0%
German model (ICON)46°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°30°0%
The average44°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.