Minority Report

Floydada, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Floyd County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)72°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°42°0%
German model (ICON)72°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°39°0%
The average71°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 42°   Rain 3%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°43°10%
US model (GFS)67°44°1%
European model (ECMWF)61°43°0%
German model (ICON)59°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°38°3%
The average62°42°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 43°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 85%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°43°74%
US model (GFS)61°41°83%
European model (ECMWF)49°45°96%
German model (ICON)51°47°80%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°92%
The average53°43°85%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 40°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 74 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 57%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°37°9%
US model (GFS)58°44°83%
European model (ECMWF)48°41°65%
German model (ICON)51°41°65%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°62%
The average51°40°57%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.