Minority Report

Fort Collins, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Larimer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)68°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°35°0%
German model (ICON)68°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°35°0%
The average67°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°34°0%
US model (GFS)66°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°37°0%
German model (ICON)63°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°32°0%
The average63°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 24%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°34°28%
US model (GFS)53°36°20%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°24%
German model (ICON)49°37°21%
Canadian model (GEM)50°35°29%
The average51°36°24%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°0%
US model (GFS)57°44°18%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°10%
German model (ICON)56°37°17%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°16%
The average55°37°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.