Minority Report

Fort Edward, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 35°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°90%
US model (GFS)41°36°98%
European model (ECMWF)42°38°100%
German model (ICON)43°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)42°37°100%
The average42°35°98%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 81%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°27°42%
US model (GFS)40°32°80%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°98%
German model (ICON)41°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)40°33°86%
The average41°32°81%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 18%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°20%
US model (GFS)44°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°41%
German model (ICON)44°34°13%
Canadian model (GEM)43°32°14%
The average44°32°18%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°26°16%
US model (GFS)45°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°12%
German model (ICON)46°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°31°12%
The average45°32°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.