Minority Report

Fort Lauderdale, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Broward County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 83°   Low 71°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 84 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 45%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—69°14%
US model (GFS)84°70°29%
European model (ECMWF)83°72°98%
German model (ICON)83°71°33%
Canadian model (GEM)83°72°52%
The average83°71°45%

Friday, November 13

High 78°   Low 62°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 11%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service79°59°6%
US model (GFS)78°62°6%
European model (ECMWF)76°64°28%
German model (ICON)75°60°3%
Canadian model (GEM)80°64°14%
The average78°62°11%

Saturday, November 14

High 70°   Low 57°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°60°0%
US model (GFS)73°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°57°0%
German model (ICON)70°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°59°0%
The average70°57°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 77°   Low 60°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service78°69°4%
US model (GFS)76°66°3%
European model (ECMWF)76°53°2%
German model (ICON)76°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°58°10%
The average77°60°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.