Minority Report

Fort Morgan, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morgan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)67°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°35°0%
German model (ICON)68°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°32°0%
The average67°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°36°0%
US model (GFS)70°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°37°0%
German model (ICON)67°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°24°0%
The average69°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 28%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 28%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°36°21%
US model (GFS)57°33°24%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°45%
German model (ICON)54°36°23%
Canadian model (GEM)55°38°29%
The average55°37°28%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 10%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°31°1%
US model (GFS)56°41°6%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°9%
German model (ICON)58°39°10%
Canadian model (GEM)54°33°26%
The average55°37°10%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.