Minority Report

Fort Myers, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 80°   Low 71°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 83 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—70°17%
US model (GFS)80°71°19%
European model (ECMWF)79°71°100%
German model (ICON)78°73°88%
Canadian model (GEM)83°72°51%
The average80°71°55%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 61°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 21%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service77°55°9%
US model (GFS)78°62°16%
European model (ECMWF)75°63°45%
German model (ICON)74°63°10%
Canadian model (GEM)75°62°24%
The average76°61°21%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 53°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°50°0%
US model (GFS)67°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°53°0%
German model (ICON)66°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°55°0%
The average66°53°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 75°   Low 54°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°60°1%
US model (GFS)74°54°2%
European model (ECMWF)74°50°0%
German model (ICON)74°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°52°0%
The average75°54°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.