Minority Report

Fort Pierce, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Lucie County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 68°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 78 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 41%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—69°14%
US model (GFS)75°66°24%
European model (ECMWF)77°69°92%
German model (ICON)75°70°48%
Canadian model (GEM)75°68°29%
The average75°68°41%

Friday, November 13

High 73°   Low 58°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°56°14%
US model (GFS)74°56°2%
European model (ECMWF)72°59°4%
German model (ICON)70°58°5%
Canadian model (GEM)73°60°0%
The average73°58°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°60°0%
US model (GFS)65°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°50°0%
German model (ICON)66°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°54°0%
The average66°52°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 74°   Low 59°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°68°3%
US model (GFS)72°65°3%
European model (ECMWF)74°52°0%
German model (ICON)72°57°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°54°6%
The average74°59°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.