Minority Report

Fort Stockton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pecos County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)70°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°46°0%
German model (ICON)71°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°44°0%
The average71°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 74°   Low 48°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 48%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°53°90%
US model (GFS)73°48°24%
European model (ECMWF)74°47°50%
German model (ICON)74°45°23%
Canadian model (GEM)77°44°51%
The average74°48°48%

Saturday, November 14

High 72°   Low 52°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 94 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°53°4%
US model (GFS)73°52°70%
European model (ECMWF)72°53°98%
German model (ICON)72°55°75%
Canadian model (GEM)73°47°58%
The average72°52°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 67°   Low 48°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°46°0%
US model (GFS)69°52°2%
European model (ECMWF)65°48°6%
German model (ICON)69°51°3%
Canadian model (GEM)66°45°7%
The average67°48°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.