Minority Report

Fowler, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Benton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 44 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 52%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°66%
US model (GFS)45°35°27%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°43%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°71%
The average46°37°52%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 44 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 58%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°30°71%
US model (GFS)40°34°27%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°69%
Canadian model (GEM)39°34°67%
The average40°33°58%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°8%
US model (GFS)45°32°7%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°7%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°23%
The average44°29°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°20°0%
The average47°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.