Minority Report

Frankfort, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 42°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°21%
US model (GFS)57°43°29%
European model (ECMWF)56°44°79%
German model (ICON)56°42°53%
Canadian model (GEM)57°42°91%
The average56°42°55%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 59%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°53%
US model (GFS)46°34°28%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°84%
German model (ICON)48°37°73%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°57%
The average46°35°59%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°26°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
German model (ICON)46°31°5%
Canadian model (GEM)47°28°1%
The average48°30°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°27°0%
US model (GFS)51°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°21°0%
The average51°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.