Minority Report

Franklin County, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)67°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°44°0%
German model (ICON)65°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°0%
The average66°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)56°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°0%
The average55°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°37°5%
US model (GFS)54°27°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)53°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°29°0%
The average52°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 40°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 39%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°39°25%
US model (GFS)55°40°32%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°41%
German model (ICON)49°40°37%
Canadian model (GEM)47°41°62%
The average50°40°39%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.