Minority Report

Franklin, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Johnson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 38°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 47%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°30%
US model (GFS)50°38°33%
European model (ECMWF)52°41°59%
Canadian model (GEM)49°38°67%
The average50°38°47%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 25%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 29 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 25%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°24%
US model (GFS)43°33°9%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°38%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°30%
The average44°33°25%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°1%
US model (GFS)46°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°27°2%
The average47°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°22°0%
The average49°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.