Minority Report

Franklin, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Simpson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 38°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 21%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°4%
US model (GFS)58°40°12%
European model (ECMWF)57°39°18%
German model (ICON)57°40°58%
Canadian model (GEM)58°36°14%
The average57°38°21%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°7%
US model (GFS)43°33°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°6%
German model (ICON)44°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°32°0%
The average44°33°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°26°0%
The average49°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°0%
German model (ICON)54°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°21°0%
The average52°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.