Minority Report

Franklin, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Macon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 39°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 92 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 71%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°8%
US model (GFS)54°38°69%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°96%
German model (ICON)56°44°80%
Canadian model (GEM)55°40°100%
The average55°39°71%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 12%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°14%
US model (GFS)44°31°4%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°39%
German model (ICON)44°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°32°0%
The average44°33°12%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 26°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°23°0%
US model (GFS)44°28°4%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°2%
German model (ICON)46°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°19°0%
The average45°26°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°26°1%
US model (GFS)52°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°28°0%
German model (ICON)54°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°12°0%
The average53°24°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.