Minority Report

Franklin, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Venango County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 81 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 78%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°19%
US model (GFS)49°36°81%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°100%
German model (ICON)47°38°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°40°92%
The average47°36°78%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 31%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 31%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°43%
US model (GFS)38°33°30%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°14%
German model (ICON)39°34°23%
Canadian model (GEM)40°35°43%
The average40°33°31%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 65%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°74%
US model (GFS)42°34°55%
European model (ECMWF)45°33°45%
German model (ICON)42°34°68%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°82%
The average43°33°65%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 37°   Rain 41%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 41%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°28%
US model (GFS)42°38°55%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°39%
German model (ICON)44°39°31%
Canadian model (GEM)42°36°52%
The average44°37°41%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.