Fredericksburg, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fredericksburg city.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 68° Low 44° Rain 42%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 66 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 44° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 69° | 46° | 37% |
| German model (ICON) | 66° | 44° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 70° | 43° | 71% |
| The average | 68° | 44° | 42% |
High 51° Low 36° Rain 8%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 33° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 36° | 3% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 36° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 37° | 14% |
| The average | 51° | 36° | 8% |
High 51° Low 32° Rain 4%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 32° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 32° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 32° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 34° | 10% |
| The average | 51° | 32° | 4% |
High 54° Low 32° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.