Freehold, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monmouth County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 61° Low 47° Rain 95%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 81% |
| US model (GFS) | 60° | 49° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 62° | 51° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 62° | 51° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 47° | 100% |
| The average | 61° | 47° | 95% |
High 50° Low 34° Rain 97%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 30° | 93% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 37° | 99% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 35° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 37° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 50° | 34° | 97% |
High 45° Low 33° Rain 30%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 35° | 29% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 33° | 10% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 34° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 33° | 38% |
| The average | 45° | 33° | 30% |
High 48° Low 34° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 34° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 34° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.