Minority Report

Fremont County, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fremont County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)63°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°30°0%
German model (ICON)62°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°26°0%
The average63°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 34°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 6%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°30%
US model (GFS)64°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°33°0%
German model (ICON)61°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°28°0%
The average61°34°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 33°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 49%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°34°60%
US model (GFS)51°36°42%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°77%
German model (ICON)51°32°35%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°29%
The average49°33°49%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 13%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°1%
US model (GFS)52°35°13%
European model (ECMWF)52°31°21%
German model (ICON)55°32°28%
Canadian model (GEM)54°22°2%
The average52°31°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.