Minority Report

Fremont, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sandusky County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 41°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 57 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°43%
US model (GFS)51°40°82%
European model (ECMWF)52°44°100%
German model (ICON)50°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°41°100%
The average51°41°85%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 63%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°30°63%
US model (GFS)40°34°41%
European model (ECMWF)43°37°96%
German model (ICON)42°36°55%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°62%
The average42°34°63%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°34°7%
US model (GFS)45°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°19%
German model (ICON)45°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°27°6%
The average44°30°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°0%
US model (GFS)46°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°38°0%
German model (ICON)48°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°29°0%
The average46°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.