Minority Report

Frenchburg, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Menifee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 42°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 88%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°46%
US model (GFS)53°41°95%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°100%
German model (ICON)55°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°100%
The average54°42°88%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 72%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°57%
US model (GFS)46°33°48%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°88%
German model (ICON)45°38°78%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°87%
The average45°34°72%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°0%
German model (ICON)45°34°13%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°10%
The average45°33°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°0%
US model (GFS)47°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°0%
German model (ICON)52°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°0%
The average48°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.