Fresno, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fresno County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 80° Low 49° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 55° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 82° | 49° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 49° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 80° | 48° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 81° | 43° | 0% |
| The average | 80° | 49° | 3% |
High 68° Low 52° Rain 97%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 68° | 50° | 93% |
| US model (GFS) | 71° | 53° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 68° | 52° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 66° | 54° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 50° | 100% |
| The average | 68° | 52° | 97% |
High 64° Low 47° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 65° | 47° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 64° | 51° | 8% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 62° | 47° | 22% |
| German model (ICON) | 64° | 49° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 64° | 43° | 7% |
| The average | 64° | 47° | 8% |
High 67° Low 48° Rain 27%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 68° | 51° | 78% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 55° | 21% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 65° | 47° | 7% |
| German model (ICON) | 68° | 47° | 27% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 67° | 39° | 1% |
| The average | 67° | 48° | 27% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.