Front Royal, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Warren County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 63° Low 44° Rain 40%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 74 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 40° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 43° | 20% |
| German model (ICON) | 62° | 47° | 85% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 63° | 45° | 43% |
| The average | 63° | 44° | 40% |
High 49° Low 36° Rain 12%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 32° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 32° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 37° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 42° | 19% |
| The average | 49° | 36° | 12% |
High 48° Low 35° Rain 5%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 32° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 31° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 36° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 40° | 12% |
| The average | 48° | 35° | 5% |
High 50° Low 37° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 42° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 36° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 37° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.