Minority Report

Gainesboro, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jackson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 40°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 93 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 7% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°7%
US model (GFS)58°43°21%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°96%
German model (ICON)58°44°53%
Canadian model (GEM)59°42°100%
The average58°40°55%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 19%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°19%
US model (GFS)43°35°10%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°37%
German model (ICON)46°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°24%
The average45°34°19%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 4%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°25°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°28°19%
The average49°30°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°26°0%
US model (GFS)54°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)55°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°24°0%
The average53°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.