Minority Report

Gainesville, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ozark County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)61°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°38°0%
German model (ICON)59°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°39°0%
The average60°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°0%
US model (GFS)46°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°0%
German model (ICON)50°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°31°0%
The average49°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°1%
US model (GFS)51°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°30°0%
German model (ICON)50°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°26°0%
The average50°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 32°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°32°9%
US model (GFS)54°32°7%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°5%
German model (ICON)55°31°12%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°13%
The average53°32°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.